Advanced Drainage Systems Inc

WMS Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

A data-driven outlook for WMS built from live market pricing, discounted cash flow fair value, valuation multiples and ZCoreAI's Z-Score mean-reversion model. No opinions — only what the numbers currently imply.

$126.05+0.30% todayUSD · live quote

WMS Price Outlook

$24.93
Model fair value per share (two-stage DCF, 10-year horizon)
Implied downside of 80.2% versus the current WMS price of $126.05.
PV of projected FCF
$610.99M
PV of terminal value
$1.47B
Equity value
$2.09B
Growth assumption
21%

WMS Historical Price Context

Two years of weekly closes for WMS, with 52-week extremes and realized performance.

52-week high
$179.31
52-week low
$124.75
1-year performance
-8.3%
2-year performance
-17.3%

WMS is trading 2% of the way up its 52-week range.

WMS Valuation & Fundamentals

The multiples and growth rates that drive the WMS forecast model.

Market cap
$10.54B
P/E (TTM)
21.07
Forward P/E
20.84
EPS (TTM)
$5.79
Revenue growth
+20.6%
EPS growth
+18.8%
Net margin
+14.0%
Discount rate
9%
See the full WMS DCF fair value breakdown →

WMS Technical & Smart Money Context

Live Z-Score readings measure how far WMS has stretched from its statistical regression mean on each timeframe. Extreme readings historically precede mean reversion.

1H
-0.78
Statistically neutral
4H
-0.98
Statistically neutral
1D
-1.83
Statistically neutral

How the WMS Forecast Is Built

The WMS price prediction combines three independent layers. First, a two-stage discounted cash flow model projects free cash flow ten years forward at 21% growth, applies a 2.5% perpetual terminal growth rate, and discounts every cash flow back to today at 9%. Second, current valuation multiples are compared against the growth and margin profile the company is actually delivering. Third, a Z-Score regression model measures how far price has stretched from its statistical mean on the 1H, 4H and daily timeframes.

Fair value is a valuation anchor, not a timing tool. A stock can stay above or below model fair value for long stretches, which is why the Z-Score layer exists — it identifies when WMS is statistically stretched enough that mean reversion becomes probable. Nothing on this page is investment advice.

WMS Stock Forecast FAQ

What is the WMS stock forecast?

ZCoreAI derives the WMS forecast from a DCF fair value of $24.93, current valuation multiples, and live Z-Score mean-reversion statistics. It is a model output based on today's data, not a guarantee of future prices.

How is the WMS price prediction calculated?

Free cash flow is projected ten years forward, a Gordon-growth terminal value is capitalized, and both are discounted to present value. Net cash and debt are added to reach equity value, which is divided by shares outstanding to get a per-share number that is compared to the live WMS price.

Is WMS overvalued or undervalued right now?

On current inputs the model puts WMS above fair value by 80.2%. Model inputs change as fundamentals update.

What does the WMS Z-Score mean?

The Z-Score measures standard deviations from a regression mean. Below -3 signals an unusually stretched downside move, above +3 signals a stretched upside move, and readings in between are statistically neutral.

Can I trade WMS signals live?

Yes. Open WMS in the ZCoreAI terminal to see Smart Money structure, signal markers and fair-value overlays on the live chart, or review every recent alert on the signals page.

WMS fair value

Full DCF intrinsic value breakdown for WMS.

WMS dividends

Payout history, yield and dividend growth for WMS.

Live trading signals

Every recent Z-Score buy and sell alert across the market.

Data refreshed from live ZCoreAI market endpoints. Informational only — not investment advice.