Universal Corp

UVV Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

A data-driven outlook for UVV built from live market pricing, discounted cash flow fair value, valuation multiples and ZCoreAI's Z-Score mean-reversion model. No opinions — only what the numbers currently imply.

$43.66-1.09% todayUSD · live quote

UVV Price Outlook

$28.71
Model fair value per share (two-stage DCF, 10-year horizon)
Implied downside of 34.2% versus the current UVV price of $43.66.
PV of projected FCF
$295.18M
PV of terminal value
$427.65M
Equity value
$722.84M
Growth assumption
7%

UVV Historical Price Context

Two years of weekly closes for UVV, with 52-week extremes and realized performance.

52-week high
$59.38
52-week low
$43.36
1-year performance
-21.3%
2-year performance
-18.2%

UVV is trading 2% of the way up its 52-week range.

UVV Valuation & Fundamentals

The multiples and growth rates that drive the UVV forecast model.

Market cap
$1.10B
P/E (TTM)
57.47
Forward P/E
12.35
EPS (TTM)
$0.75
Revenue growth
-11.8%
EPS growth
Net margin
+0.7%
Discount rate
9%
See the full UVV DCF fair value breakdown →

UVV Technical & Smart Money Context

Live Z-Score readings measure how far UVV has stretched from its statistical regression mean on each timeframe. Extreme readings historically precede mean reversion.

1H
-0.23
Statistically neutral
4H
-1.20
Statistically neutral
1D
-1.61
Statistically neutral

How the UVV Forecast Is Built

The UVV price prediction combines three independent layers. First, a two-stage discounted cash flow model projects free cash flow ten years forward at 7% growth, applies a 2.5% perpetual terminal growth rate, and discounts every cash flow back to today at 9%. Second, current valuation multiples are compared against the growth and margin profile the company is actually delivering. Third, a Z-Score regression model measures how far price has stretched from its statistical mean on the 1H, 4H and daily timeframes.

Fair value is a valuation anchor, not a timing tool. A stock can stay above or below model fair value for long stretches, which is why the Z-Score layer exists — it identifies when UVV is statistically stretched enough that mean reversion becomes probable. Nothing on this page is investment advice.

UVV Stock Forecast FAQ

What is the UVV stock forecast?

ZCoreAI derives the UVV forecast from a DCF fair value of $28.71, current valuation multiples, and live Z-Score mean-reversion statistics. It is a model output based on today's data, not a guarantee of future prices.

How is the UVV price prediction calculated?

Free cash flow is projected ten years forward, a Gordon-growth terminal value is capitalized, and both are discounted to present value. Net cash and debt are added to reach equity value, which is divided by shares outstanding to get a per-share number that is compared to the live UVV price.

Is UVV overvalued or undervalued right now?

On current inputs the model puts UVV above fair value by 34.2%. Model inputs change as fundamentals update.

What does the UVV Z-Score mean?

The Z-Score measures standard deviations from a regression mean. Below -3 signals an unusually stretched downside move, above +3 signals a stretched upside move, and readings in between are statistically neutral.

Can I trade UVV signals live?

Yes. Open UVV in the ZCoreAI terminal to see Smart Money structure, signal markers and fair-value overlays on the live chart, or review every recent alert on the signals page.

UVV fair value

Full DCF intrinsic value breakdown for UVV.

UVV dividends

Payout history, yield and dividend growth for UVV.

Live trading signals

Every recent Z-Score buy and sell alert across the market.

Data refreshed from live ZCoreAI market endpoints. Informational only — not investment advice.