Redwood Trust Inc

RWTS Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

A data-driven outlook for RWTS built from live market pricing, discounted cash flow fair value, valuation multiples and ZCoreAI's Z-Score mean-reversion model. No opinions — only what the numbers currently imply.

$21.70-2.21% todayUSD · live quote

RWTS Price Outlook

$3.91
Model fair value per share (two-stage DCF, 10-year horizon)
Implied downside of 82.0% versus the current RWTS price of $21.70.
PV of projected FCF
$24.05M
PV of terminal value
$65.08M
Equity value
$89.13M
Growth assumption
25%

RWTS Historical Price Context

Two years of weekly closes for RWTS, with 52-week extremes and realized performance.

52-week high
$24.99
52-week low
$21.40
1-year performance
-11.4%
2-year performance
-11.4%

RWTS is trading 8% of the way up its 52-week range.

RWTS Valuation & Fundamentals

The multiples and growth rates that drive the RWTS forecast model.

Market cap
$494.91M
P/E (TTM)
86.58
Forward P/E
4.80
EPS (TTM)
$0.05
Revenue growth
+42.7%
EPS growth
Net margin
+0.4%
Discount rate
9%
See the full RWTS DCF fair value breakdown →

RWTS Technical & Smart Money Context

Live Z-Score readings measure how far RWTS has stretched from its statistical regression mean on each timeframe. Extreme readings historically precede mean reversion.

1H
-0.87
Statistically neutral

How the RWTS Forecast Is Built

The RWTS price prediction combines three independent layers. First, a two-stage discounted cash flow model projects free cash flow ten years forward at 25% growth, applies a 2.5% perpetual terminal growth rate, and discounts every cash flow back to today at 9%. Second, current valuation multiples are compared against the growth and margin profile the company is actually delivering. Third, a Z-Score regression model measures how far price has stretched from its statistical mean on the 1H, 4H and daily timeframes.

Fair value is a valuation anchor, not a timing tool. A stock can stay above or below model fair value for long stretches, which is why the Z-Score layer exists — it identifies when RWTS is statistically stretched enough that mean reversion becomes probable. Nothing on this page is investment advice.

RWTS Stock Forecast FAQ

What is the RWTS stock forecast?

ZCoreAI derives the RWTS forecast from a DCF fair value of $3.91, current valuation multiples, and live Z-Score mean-reversion statistics. It is a model output based on today's data, not a guarantee of future prices.

How is the RWTS price prediction calculated?

Free cash flow is projected ten years forward, a Gordon-growth terminal value is capitalized, and both are discounted to present value. Net cash and debt are added to reach equity value, which is divided by shares outstanding to get a per-share number that is compared to the live RWTS price.

Is RWTS overvalued or undervalued right now?

On current inputs the model puts RWTS above fair value by 82.0%. Model inputs change as fundamentals update.

What does the RWTS Z-Score mean?

The Z-Score measures standard deviations from a regression mean. Below -3 signals an unusually stretched downside move, above +3 signals a stretched upside move, and readings in between are statistically neutral.

Can I trade RWTS signals live?

Yes. Open RWTS in the ZCoreAI terminal to see Smart Money structure, signal markers and fair-value overlays on the live chart, or review every recent alert on the signals page.

RWTS fair value

Full DCF intrinsic value breakdown for RWTS.

RWTS dividends

Payout history, yield and dividend growth for RWTS.

Live trading signals

Every recent Z-Score buy and sell alert across the market.

Data refreshed from live ZCoreAI market endpoints. Informational only — not investment advice.