Koninklijke Philips NV

PHG Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

A data-driven outlook for PHG built from live market pricing, discounted cash flow fair value, valuation multiples and ZCoreAI's Z-Score mean-reversion model. No opinions — only what the numbers currently imply.

$24.68+0.00% todayEUR · live quote

PHG Price Outlook

$17.58
Model fair value per share (two-stage DCF, 10-year horizon)
Implied downside of 28.8% versus the current PHG price of $24.68.
PV of projected FCF
$6.94B
PV of terminal value
$7.97B
Equity value
$14.91B
Growth assumption
2%

PHG Historical Price Context

Two years of weekly closes for PHG, with 52-week extremes and realized performance.

52-week high
$33.44
52-week low
$23.85
1-year performance
-8.0%
2-year performance
-19.3%

PHG is trading 9% of the way up its 52-week range.

PHG Valuation & Fundamentals

The multiples and growth rates that drive the PHG forecast model.

Market cap
$20.94B
P/E (TTM)
18.81
Forward P/E
14.85
EPS (TTM)
$1.16
Revenue growth
+0.5%
EPS growth
+58.7%
Net margin
+6.3%
Discount rate
9%
See the full PHG DCF fair value breakdown →

PHG Technical & Smart Money Context

Live Z-Score readings measure how far PHG has stretched from its statistical regression mean on each timeframe. Extreme readings historically precede mean reversion.

1H
-1.12
Statistically neutral
4H
-0.68
Statistically neutral
1D
-1.50
Statistically neutral

How the PHG Forecast Is Built

The PHG price prediction combines three independent layers. First, a two-stage discounted cash flow model projects free cash flow ten years forward at 2% growth, applies a 2.5% perpetual terminal growth rate, and discounts every cash flow back to today at 9%. Second, current valuation multiples are compared against the growth and margin profile the company is actually delivering. Third, a Z-Score regression model measures how far price has stretched from its statistical mean on the 1H, 4H and daily timeframes.

Fair value is a valuation anchor, not a timing tool. A stock can stay above or below model fair value for long stretches, which is why the Z-Score layer exists — it identifies when PHG is statistically stretched enough that mean reversion becomes probable. Nothing on this page is investment advice.

PHG Stock Forecast FAQ

What is the PHG stock forecast?

ZCoreAI derives the PHG forecast from a DCF fair value of $17.58, current valuation multiples, and live Z-Score mean-reversion statistics. It is a model output based on today's data, not a guarantee of future prices.

How is the PHG price prediction calculated?

Free cash flow is projected ten years forward, a Gordon-growth terminal value is capitalized, and both are discounted to present value. Net cash and debt are added to reach equity value, which is divided by shares outstanding to get a per-share number that is compared to the live PHG price.

Is PHG overvalued or undervalued right now?

On current inputs the model puts PHG above fair value by 28.8%. Model inputs change as fundamentals update.

What does the PHG Z-Score mean?

The Z-Score measures standard deviations from a regression mean. Below -3 signals an unusually stretched downside move, above +3 signals a stretched upside move, and readings in between are statistically neutral.

Can I trade PHG signals live?

Yes. Open PHG in the ZCoreAI terminal to see Smart Money structure, signal markers and fair-value overlays on the live chart, or review every recent alert on the signals page.

PHG fair value

Full DCF intrinsic value breakdown for PHG.

PHG dividends

Payout history, yield and dividend growth for PHG.

Live trading signals

Every recent Z-Score buy and sell alert across the market.

Data refreshed from live ZCoreAI market endpoints. Informational only — not investment advice.