Phathom Pharmaceuticals Inc
PHAT Stock Forecast & Price Prediction
A data-driven outlook for PHAT built from live market pricing, discounted cash flow fair value, valuation multiples and ZCoreAI's Z-Score mean-reversion model. No opinions — only what the numbers currently imply.
PHAT Price Outlook
A cash-flow based forecast for PHAT is unavailable — shares outstanding or cash-flow inputs could not be verified from public data.
PHAT Historical Price Context
Two years of weekly closes for PHAT, with 52-week extremes and realized performance.
- 52-week high
- $18.31
- 52-week low
- $7.46
- 1-year performance
- -36.5%
- 2-year performance
- -59.4%
PHAT is trading 0% of the way up its 52-week range.
PHAT Valuation & Fundamentals
The multiples and growth rates that drive the PHAT forecast model.
- Market cap
- $605.14M
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- Forward P/E
- 23.34
- EPS (TTM)
- $-1.27
- Revenue growth
- +88.0%
- EPS growth
- —
- Net margin
- -41.3%
- Discount rate
- 9%
PHAT Technical & Smart Money Context
Live Z-Score readings measure how far PHAT has stretched from its statistical regression mean on each timeframe. Extreme readings historically precede mean reversion.
How the PHAT Forecast Is Built
The PHAT price prediction combines three independent layers. First, a two-stage discounted cash flow model projects free cash flow ten years forward at 25% growth, applies a 2.5% perpetual terminal growth rate, and discounts every cash flow back to today at 9%. Second, current valuation multiples are compared against the growth and margin profile the company is actually delivering. Third, a Z-Score regression model measures how far price has stretched from its statistical mean on the 1H, 4H and daily timeframes.
Fair value is a valuation anchor, not a timing tool. A stock can stay above or below model fair value for long stretches, which is why the Z-Score layer exists — it identifies when PHAT is statistically stretched enough that mean reversion becomes probable. Nothing on this page is investment advice.
PHAT Stock Forecast FAQ
What is the PHAT stock forecast?
ZCoreAI derives the PHAT forecast from a DCF fair value, current valuation multiples, and live Z-Score mean-reversion statistics. It is a model output based on today's data, not a guarantee of future prices.
How is the PHAT price prediction calculated?
Free cash flow is projected ten years forward, a Gordon-growth terminal value is capitalized, and both are discounted to present value. Net cash and debt are added to reach equity value, which is divided by shares outstanding to get a per-share number that is compared to the live PHAT price.
Is PHAT overvalued or undervalued right now?
The model cannot produce a reliable fair value for PHAT from currently available public data.
What does the PHAT Z-Score mean?
The Z-Score measures standard deviations from a regression mean. Below -3 signals an unusually stretched downside move, above +3 signals a stretched upside move, and readings in between are statistically neutral.
Can I trade PHAT signals live?
Yes. Open PHAT in the ZCoreAI terminal to see Smart Money structure, signal markers and fair-value overlays on the live chart, or review every recent alert on the signals page.
Full DCF intrinsic value breakdown for PHAT.
Payout history, yield and dividend growth for PHAT.
Every recent Z-Score buy and sell alert across the market.
Data refreshed from live ZCoreAI market endpoints. Informational only — not investment advice.