Old Dominion Freight Line Inc

ODFL Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

A data-driven outlook for ODFL built from live market pricing, discounted cash flow fair value, valuation multiples and ZCoreAI's Z-Score mean-reversion model. No opinions — only what the numbers currently imply.

$173.00-1.19% todayUSD · live quote

ODFL Price Outlook

$14.66
Model fair value per share (two-stage DCF, 10-year horizon)
Implied downside of 91.5% versus the current ODFL price of $173.00.
PV of projected FCF
$1.15B
PV of terminal value
$1.89B
Equity value
$3.04B
Growth assumption
10%

ODFL Historical Price Context

Two years of weekly closes for ODFL, with 52-week extremes and realized performance.

52-week high
$252.03
52-week low
$126.01
1-year performance
+24.8%
2-year performance
-10.8%

ODFL is trading 37% of the way up its 52-week range.

ODFL Valuation & Fundamentals

The multiples and growth rates that drive the ODFL forecast model.

Market cap
$35.87B
P/E (TTM)
32.93
Forward P/E
34.54
EPS (TTM)
$5.20
Revenue growth
+10.4%
EPS growth
+32.7%
Net margin
+19.4%
Discount rate
9%
See the full ODFL DCF fair value breakdown →

ODFL Technical & Smart Money Context

Live Z-Score readings measure how far ODFL has stretched from its statistical regression mean on each timeframe. Extreme readings historically precede mean reversion.

1H
-0.63
Statistically neutral
4H
-2.49
Statistically neutral
1D
-3.73
Statistically undervalued

How the ODFL Forecast Is Built

The ODFL price prediction combines three independent layers. First, a two-stage discounted cash flow model projects free cash flow ten years forward at 10% growth, applies a 2.5% perpetual terminal growth rate, and discounts every cash flow back to today at 9%. Second, current valuation multiples are compared against the growth and margin profile the company is actually delivering. Third, a Z-Score regression model measures how far price has stretched from its statistical mean on the 1H, 4H and daily timeframes.

Fair value is a valuation anchor, not a timing tool. A stock can stay above or below model fair value for long stretches, which is why the Z-Score layer exists — it identifies when ODFL is statistically stretched enough that mean reversion becomes probable. Nothing on this page is investment advice.

ODFL Stock Forecast FAQ

What is the ODFL stock forecast?

ZCoreAI derives the ODFL forecast from a DCF fair value of $14.66, current valuation multiples, and live Z-Score mean-reversion statistics. It is a model output based on today's data, not a guarantee of future prices.

How is the ODFL price prediction calculated?

Free cash flow is projected ten years forward, a Gordon-growth terminal value is capitalized, and both are discounted to present value. Net cash and debt are added to reach equity value, which is divided by shares outstanding to get a per-share number that is compared to the live ODFL price.

Is ODFL overvalued or undervalued right now?

On current inputs the model puts ODFL above fair value by 91.5%. Model inputs change as fundamentals update.

What does the ODFL Z-Score mean?

The Z-Score measures standard deviations from a regression mean. Below -3 signals an unusually stretched downside move, above +3 signals a stretched upside move, and readings in between are statistically neutral.

Can I trade ODFL signals live?

Yes. Open ODFL in the ZCoreAI terminal to see Smart Money structure, signal markers and fair-value overlays on the live chart, or review every recent alert on the signals page.

ODFL fair value

Full DCF intrinsic value breakdown for ODFL.

ODFL dividends

Payout history, yield and dividend growth for ODFL.

Live trading signals

Every recent Z-Score buy and sell alert across the market.

Data refreshed from live ZCoreAI market endpoints. Informational only — not investment advice.