NatWest Group PLC

NWG Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

A data-driven outlook for NWG built from live market pricing, discounted cash flow fair value, valuation multiples and ZCoreAI's Z-Score mean-reversion model. No opinions — only what the numbers currently imply.

$18.67-1.43% todayGBP · live quote

NWG Price Outlook

$66.73
Model fair value per share (two-stage DCF, 10-year horizon)
Implied upside of 257.4% versus the current NWG price of $18.67.
PV of projected FCF
$54.56B
PV of terminal value
$147.66B
Equity value
$202.22B
Growth assumption
25%

NWG Historical Price Context

Two years of weekly closes for NWG, with 52-week extremes and realized performance.

52-week high
$19.42
52-week low
$13.56
1-year performance
+33.2%
2-year performance
+105.6%

NWG is trading 87% of the way up its 52-week range.

NWG Valuation & Fundamentals

The multiples and growth rates that drive the NWG forecast model.

Market cap
$56.57B
P/E (TTM)
8.92
Forward P/E
8.39
EPS (TTM)
$0.79
Revenue growth
+67.3%
EPS growth
+28.1%
Net margin
+31.2%
Discount rate
9%
See the full NWG DCF fair value breakdown →

NWG Technical & Smart Money Context

Live Z-Score readings measure how far NWG has stretched from its statistical regression mean on each timeframe. Extreme readings historically precede mean reversion.

1H
-0.19
Statistically neutral
4H
0.51
Statistically neutral
1D
0.49
Statistically neutral

How the NWG Forecast Is Built

The NWG price prediction combines three independent layers. First, a two-stage discounted cash flow model projects free cash flow ten years forward at 25% growth, applies a 2.5% perpetual terminal growth rate, and discounts every cash flow back to today at 9%. Second, current valuation multiples are compared against the growth and margin profile the company is actually delivering. Third, a Z-Score regression model measures how far price has stretched from its statistical mean on the 1H, 4H and daily timeframes.

Fair value is a valuation anchor, not a timing tool. A stock can stay above or below model fair value for long stretches, which is why the Z-Score layer exists — it identifies when NWG is statistically stretched enough that mean reversion becomes probable. Nothing on this page is investment advice.

NWG Stock Forecast FAQ

What is the NWG stock forecast?

ZCoreAI derives the NWG forecast from a DCF fair value of $66.73, current valuation multiples, and live Z-Score mean-reversion statistics. It is a model output based on today's data, not a guarantee of future prices.

How is the NWG price prediction calculated?

Free cash flow is projected ten years forward, a Gordon-growth terminal value is capitalized, and both are discounted to present value. Net cash and debt are added to reach equity value, which is divided by shares outstanding to get a per-share number that is compared to the live NWG price.

Is NWG overvalued or undervalued right now?

On current inputs the model puts NWG below fair value by 257.4%. Model inputs change as fundamentals update.

What does the NWG Z-Score mean?

The Z-Score measures standard deviations from a regression mean. Below -3 signals an unusually stretched downside move, above +3 signals a stretched upside move, and readings in between are statistically neutral.

Can I trade NWG signals live?

Yes. Open NWG in the ZCoreAI terminal to see Smart Money structure, signal markers and fair-value overlays on the live chart, or review every recent alert on the signals page.

NWG fair value

Full DCF intrinsic value breakdown for NWG.

NWG dividends

Payout history, yield and dividend growth for NWG.

Live trading signals

Every recent Z-Score buy and sell alert across the market.

Data refreshed from live ZCoreAI market endpoints. Informational only — not investment advice.