Mader Group Ltd

MADGF Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

A data-driven outlook for MADGF built from live market pricing, discounted cash flow fair value, valuation multiples and ZCoreAI's Z-Score mean-reversion model. No opinions — only what the numbers currently imply.

$3.80-23.54% todayAUD · live quote

MADGF Price Outlook

$10.02
Model fair value per share (two-stage DCF, 10-year horizon)
Implied upside of 163.6% versus the current MADGF price of $3.80.
PV of projected FCF
$1.16B
PV of terminal value
$2.07B
Equity value
$3.23B
Growth assumption
12%

MADGF Historical Price Context

Two years of weekly closes for MADGF, with 52-week extremes and realized performance.

52-week high
$5.71
52-week low
$3.80
1-year performance
-29.4%
2-year performance
+14.1%

MADGF is trading 0% of the way up its 52-week range.

MADGF Valuation & Fundamentals

The multiples and growth rates that drive the MADGF forecast model.

Market cap
$1.22B
P/E (TTM)
18.74
Forward P/E
21.57
EPS (TTM)
$0.31
Revenue growth
+12.0%
EPS growth
+13.2%
Net margin
+6.5%
Discount rate
9%
See the full MADGF DCF fair value breakdown →

MADGF Technical & Smart Money Context

Live Z-Score readings measure how far MADGF has stretched from its statistical regression mean on each timeframe. Extreme readings historically precede mean reversion.

1D
-7.49
Extremely stretched down

How the MADGF Forecast Is Built

The MADGF price prediction combines three independent layers. First, a two-stage discounted cash flow model projects free cash flow ten years forward at 12% growth, applies a 2.5% perpetual terminal growth rate, and discounts every cash flow back to today at 9%. Second, current valuation multiples are compared against the growth and margin profile the company is actually delivering. Third, a Z-Score regression model measures how far price has stretched from its statistical mean on the 1H, 4H and daily timeframes.

Fair value is a valuation anchor, not a timing tool. A stock can stay above or below model fair value for long stretches, which is why the Z-Score layer exists — it identifies when MADGF is statistically stretched enough that mean reversion becomes probable. Nothing on this page is investment advice.

MADGF Stock Forecast FAQ

What is the MADGF stock forecast?

ZCoreAI derives the MADGF forecast from a DCF fair value of $10.02, current valuation multiples, and live Z-Score mean-reversion statistics. It is a model output based on today's data, not a guarantee of future prices.

How is the MADGF price prediction calculated?

Free cash flow is projected ten years forward, a Gordon-growth terminal value is capitalized, and both are discounted to present value. Net cash and debt are added to reach equity value, which is divided by shares outstanding to get a per-share number that is compared to the live MADGF price.

Is MADGF overvalued or undervalued right now?

On current inputs the model puts MADGF below fair value by 163.6%. Model inputs change as fundamentals update.

What does the MADGF Z-Score mean?

The Z-Score measures standard deviations from a regression mean. Below -3 signals an unusually stretched downside move, above +3 signals a stretched upside move, and readings in between are statistically neutral.

Can I trade MADGF signals live?

Yes. Open MADGF in the ZCoreAI terminal to see Smart Money structure, signal markers and fair-value overlays on the live chart, or review every recent alert on the signals page.

MADGF fair value

Full DCF intrinsic value breakdown for MADGF.

MADGF dividends

Payout history, yield and dividend growth for MADGF.

Live trading signals

Every recent Z-Score buy and sell alert across the market.

Data refreshed from live ZCoreAI market endpoints. Informational only — not investment advice.